Model updates don't just improve — they redistribute capability. Some tasks get better; adjacent ones silently regress. Model-Drift Watch runs a fixed battery of production-shaped regression tasks against every major release, across providers, and publishes the diff — so you find out the same day, not from your customers.
| Workflow archetype | Previous | New release | Flip rate | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structured output (JSON) | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/5 | stable |
| Tool/function calling | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | regression |
| Long-doc extraction | 4/5 | 5/5 | 1/5 | improved |
| Instruction adherence | 5/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | watch |
Illustrative sample. Methodology: N=5 trials per task, temperature 0, deterministic checkers. A regression = ≥3/5 failures on a task that previously passed ≥4/5. Task categories are published; raw task inputs never are.
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